"Dear Citigroup Customer ...." by Mish
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/dear-citigroup-customer.html
My name is Nikolay Mihaylov, and these are my finance notes. I am *NOT* so experienced in this area, but may be is good for you to see how I am thinking :) Unlike most other blogs, here, everything is real transaction, unless is theoretical post, which is used for finding entering price. So enjoy it.
2008-03-28
2008-03-23
Explanation why Gold fall?
From Kereport:
"Greg McCoach continues his discussion from the weekly show about this past week's strange market behaviour."
http://www.kereport.com/WeekendSpecial/WS032208-1.mp3
According to him, Bear Stearns had huge gold position, which was sold.
"Greg McCoach continues his discussion from the weekly show about this past week's strange market behaviour."
http://www.kereport.com/WeekendSpecial/WS032208-1.mp3
According to him, Bear Stearns had huge gold position, which was sold.
The Laffer Curve
The Laffer Curve, Part I: Understanding the Theory
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIqyCpCPrvU
The Laffer Curve, Part II: Reviewing the Evidence
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsB_rnzBA08
The Laffer Curve, Part III: Dynamic Scoring
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATDzKSOQCi8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIqyCpCPrvU
The Laffer Curve, Part II: Reviewing the Evidence
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsB_rnzBA08
The Laffer Curve, Part III: Dynamic Scoring
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATDzKSOQCi8
Gold Market Update by Clive Maund
Gold Market Update by Clive Maund
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9757.htm
Never liked him, but chart looks good.
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9757.htm
Never liked him, but chart looks good.
CIT
Tighter credit markets squeezing CIT by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/tighter-credit-markets-squeezing-cit.html
CIT Taps Credit Lines To Finance Operations by Mish
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/cit-taps-credit-lines-to-finance.html
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/tighter-credit-markets-squeezing-cit.html
CIT Taps Credit Lines To Finance Operations by Mish
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/cit-taps-credit-lines-to-finance.html
2007 Stock Market Returns
| 2007 Stock Market Returns | ||
|---|---|---|
| # | Country | % Return |
| 1 | China | 179.8 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 135.4 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 96.9 |
| 4 | Nigeria | 90.9 |
| 5 | Botswana | 86.2 |
| 6 | Croatia | 80.8 |
| 7 | Brazil | 72.4 |
| 8 | Turkey | 71.9 |
| 9 | Mauritius | 70.0 |
| 10 | India | 65.2 |
| 11 | Oman | 61.9 |
| 12 | Bulgaria | 60.1 |
| 13 | Egypt | 56.3 |
| 14 | Hong Kong | 55.5 |
| 15 | Serbia | 55.0 |
| 16 | United Arab Emirates | 51.8 |
| 17 | Indonesia | 45.5 |
| 18 | Peru | 45.0 |
| 19 | Philippines | 44.3 |
| 20 | Israel | 43.7 |
| 21 | Saudi Arabia | 40.9 |
| 22 | Malaysia | 40.6 |
| 23 | Pakistan | 38.5 |
| 24 | Cyprus | 36.6 |
| 25 | Jordan | 36.3 |
| 26 | Botswana | 35.7 |
| 27 | Germany | 35.2 |
| 28 | Qatar | 34.3 |
| 29 | Thailand | 32.7 |
| 30 | Kuwait | 32.0 |
| 31 | South Korea | 31.4 |
| 32 | Czech Republic | 30.7 |
| 33 | Norway | 30.4 |
| 34 | Greece | 30.3 |
| 35 | Portugal | 28.5 |
| 36 | Romania | 27.7 |
| 37 | Lebanon | 26.8 |
| 38 | Singapore | 26.5 |
| 39 | Ghana | 25.6 |
| 40 | Canada | 25.1 |
| 41 | Bahrain | 24.6 |
| 42 | Australia | 24.1 |
| 43 | Vietnam | 23.6 |
| 44 | Poland | 23.6 |
| 45 | Luxembourg | 22.9 |
| 46 | Slovakia | 21.5 |
| 47 | Chile | 21.4 |
| 48 | Russian Federation | 19.2 |
| 49 | Tunisia | 19.0 |
| 50 | South Africa | 18.7 |
| 51 | Spain | 18.6 |
| 52 | Denmark | 16.2 |
| 53 | Hungary | 15.9 |
| 54 | Lithuania | 15.4 |
| 55 | Netherlands | 15.1 |
| 56 | Namibia | 14.5 |
| 57 | Finland | 14.3 |
| 58 | Malta | 12.0 |
| 59 | France | 12.0 |
| 60 | Austria | 11.8 |
| 61 | Iceland | 11.5 |
| 62 | Mexico | 10.8 |
| 63 | Taiwan | 9.3 |
| 64 | New Zealand | 8.5 |
| 65 | United States | 6.4 |
| Source: Bloomberg | ||
2008-03-20
Fed to take riskier mortgages to aid dealers
Fed to take riskier mortgages to aid dealers
http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUKN2022117520080320?rpc=44
hmmm...
http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUKN2022117520080320?rpc=44
hmmm...
EUR/USD long term
How quickly the markets forget...
Wednesday, March 19, 2008 Today's Markets by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/todays-markets_19.html
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/todays-markets_19.html
2008-03-19
2008-03-18
Next Bailout Candidate?
My comment:
Next Bailout Candidate?
Lehman Profit Falls 57 Percent
Shares of Lehman are up 13 percent in premarket trading.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080318/earns_lehman.html
Next Bailout Candidate?
Lehman Profit Falls 57 Percent
Shares of Lehman are up 13 percent in premarket trading.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080318/earns_lehman.html
My new Bulgarian article in novini.net
Bear Stearns - Communism in motion :) by me - Nikolay Mihaylov
http://www.novini.net/2008/03/bear-stearns.html
(article is in Bulgarian language)
http://www.novini.net/2008/03/bear-stearns.html
(article is in Bulgarian language)
Readings...
Now Presenting: Deflation! by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/253228571/now-presenting-deflation.html
The US Dollar Index: The Bear Market Carries On! by Peter Zihlmann
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9718.htm
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/253228571/now-presenting-deflation.html
The US Dollar Index: The Bear Market Carries On! by Peter Zihlmann
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9718.htm
FOMC trade
+------+---------+-------+---------------+
: Rate : USD : Pips : Remark :
: Cut : React. : : :
+------+---------+-------+---------------+
: 0.00 : bullish : 50+++ : :
: 0.25 : bullish : 50++ : :
: 0.50 : bullish : 50+ : :
: 0.75 : watch : : Expected :
: 1.00 : bearish : 50+ : Expected 100% :
: 1.25 : bearish : 50++ : Expected 22% :
+------+---------+-------+---------------+
2008-03-17
Jim Rogers for Hellicopter drops
Jim Rogers video:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/23588079 (see the video, not the article itself)
http://www.cnbc.com/id/23588079 (see the video, not the article itself)
Week open
Gold hits $ 1,032, now @ $ 1,022
Silver @ $21.15
USD/CHF - parity (0.98)
EUR/USD - hit 1.59.02, now back to 1.57.60-90
USD/BGN hits 1.23 lv.
Silver @ $21.15
USD/CHF - parity (0.98)
EUR/USD - hit 1.59.02, now back to 1.57.60-90
USD/BGN hits 1.23 lv.
Readings...
Jim Cramer's Stop Trading! Buy Bear Stearns
http://www.thestreet.com/_tscwrap/funds/stoptrading/10364371.html
Bear Stearns Bankruptcy Looms by Mish Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/bear-stearns-bankruptcy-looms.html
Global "Oil Shock" Rattles World Stock Markets by Gary Dorsch
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9699.htm
(interesting but very long :-) )
Doji by Lynn T
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9709.htm
(call for bottom in S&P500)
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report by Doug Gnazzo
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9703.htm
(very good report as usual)
http://www.thestreet.com/_tscwrap/funds/stoptrading/10364371.html
Bear Stearns Bankruptcy Looms by Mish Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/bear-stearns-bankruptcy-looms.html
Global "Oil Shock" Rattles World Stock Markets by Gary Dorsch
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9699.htm
(interesting but very long :-) )
Doji by Lynn T
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9709.htm
(call for bottom in S&P500)
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report by Doug Gnazzo
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9703.htm
(very good report as usual)
2008-03-14
Gold Stocks: Boom or Bust?
Very good article, including interesting charts:
Gold Stocks: Boom or Bust? by Alex Wallenwein
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9693.htm
Gold Stocks: Boom or Bust? by Alex Wallenwein
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9693.htm
Weekend song - Emil Dimitrov
Emil Dimitrov is probably the best Bulgarian singer for all times...
And this week, because gold pass $1,000 for first time, you will get extra song:
Here you are one more song from Emil Dimitrov
And this week, because gold pass $1,000 for first time, you will get extra song:
Here you are one more song from Emil Dimitrov
No inflation :)
Extra, extra, US inflation defeated.
Core Rate CPI is now 0.00 %
No inflation in February? by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/no-inflation-in-february.html
...and...
U.S. Dollar Intervention Madness by Mish Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/us-dollar-intervention-watch.html
Core Rate CPI is now 0.00 %
No inflation in February? by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/no-inflation-in-february.html
...and...
U.S. Dollar Intervention Madness by Mish Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/us-dollar-intervention-watch.html
Oil very short term
EUR/USD - 4h
Lately I paid more attention to Gold, oil and minning stocks. Same time there was good rally in EUR as well. I miss it. In fact I did no trade this month.Lets check now EUR/USD 4h.
MACD is still positive, but it is close to negative cross. RSI is once again positive, but is headed down.
On the chart - there are a blue trendline act as support, as well brown line, which may be broken any moment (actually price fell to 1.55.60, and is broken now). The price may comming to blue line or little bit down to 50 day MA - 1.54.10 or 1.53.70. - I believe those levels will be good buy. Even now may be EUR going there, I do not think shorting EUR is a good idea.
From other side, pink line suggest there is a wedge in EUR/USD. The wedge suggest price of 1.47. I do not believe we will see something like this, unless Trichet do something stupid.
Today we will have CPI data from US. This may be the turning point, we will see where the EUR/USD going next.
Update:
Brown trendline holded until now.
Readings...
February foreclosures up 60% YOY by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/february-foreclosures-up-60-yoy.html
A bold call from S&P? Or a premature one? by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/bold-call-from-s-or-stupid-one.html
S&P Provides Comic Relief by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/s-provides-comic-relief.html
Time to Buy Precious Metal Stocks? by Peter Zihlmann
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9687.htm
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/february-foreclosures-up-60-yoy.html
A bold call from S&P? Or a premature one? by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/bold-call-from-s-or-stupid-one.html
S&P Provides Comic Relief by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/s-provides-comic-relief.html
Time to Buy Precious Metal Stocks? by Peter Zihlmann
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9687.htm
2008-03-13
Dow decline...
2008-03-12
A Golden Future for Silver
A Golden Future for Silver by Roy Martens
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9670.htm
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9670.htm
2008-03-11
Trade
Sold the PWE @ 113.30 for a small profit...
I believe I will buy it in 2-3 days @ 110...
ET8Jip 108.65
I believe I will buy it in 2-3 days @ 110...
ET8Jip 108.65
Margin Selling Chain Reaction
Michael Shedlock on margin calls again:
Margin Selling Chain Reaction
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/margin-selling-chain-reaction.html
Margin Selling Chain Reaction
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/03/margin-selling-chain-reaction.html
2008-03-10
Quote
My friends, we live in the greatest nation in the history of the world.
I hope you'll join with me as we try to change it.
- Barack Obama
I hope you'll join with me as we try to change it.
- Barack Obama
Stockexchange sell-off...
Bought some Silver Standard (SSRI) @ 35,
it raise sharply and I can not bought it @ 34.30.
also have some PBR from Friday (not posted in the blog)...
Strange oil raise and PBR is almost flat
ET8Jip 106.75-106.83
it raise sharply and I can not bought it @ 34.30.
also have some PBR from Friday (not posted in the blog)...
Strange oil raise and PBR is almost flat
ET8Jip 106.75-106.83
Oil and Gold link on the left
Realtime Oil prices works again,
is no WTIC, but second price is very close to WTIC.
is no WTIC, but second price is very close to WTIC.
2008-03-07
Weekend song - Tangra
Tangra - Bogatstvo (Wealth)
The song is from middle 1980's,
The real wealth not to have money, but a "window with million stars on the sky" :)
The song is from middle 1980's,
The real wealth not to have money, but a "window with million stars on the sky" :)
S&P in EUR :)
Picture du Jour: Plunging Dollar Erodes Non-US Investors' Returns by Prieur du Plessis
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9638.htm
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9638.htm
2008-03-06
Readings...
MBA: Delinquencies, foreclosures rise again in Q4 2007 by Mike Larson
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/mba-delinquencies-foreclosures-rise.html
Ambak "Bailout" Lands with Big Thud by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/246376386/ambak-bailout-lands-with-big-thud.html
It's the Leverage, Stupid by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/its-leverage-stupid.html
The US Says It's Supply; OPEC Says Its the Dollar by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/us-says-its-supply-opec-says-its-dollar.html
(oil and usd)
http://interestrateroundup.blogspot.com/2008/03/mba-delinquencies-foreclosures-rise.html
Ambak "Bailout" Lands with Big Thud by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/246376386/ambak-bailout-lands-with-big-thud.html
It's the Leverage, Stupid by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/its-leverage-stupid.html
The US Says It's Supply; OPEC Says Its the Dollar by bonddad
http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2008/03/us-says-its-supply-opec-says-its-dollar.html
(oil and usd)
2008-03-05
The TOP 10 ETF Performance YTD
- ETMSF (ETFS PHYS PALLADIUM) 48.88%
- ETSLF (ETFS PHYS PLATINUM) 48.80%
- ECYIF (ETFS SUGAR) 34.375%
- SLV 33.497%
- ETSCF (ETFS COFFEE) 32.60%
- DBS 31.891%
- ETFDF (ETFS COTTON) 31.008%
- GEIGF 29.63%
- RJZ 27.030%
- JJM 27.769%
Readings...
Bernanke Asks Taxpayers To Bail Out Banks by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/245709439/bernanke-asks-taxpayers-to-bail-out.html
Interest Rate Policy Madness by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/245578693/interest-rate-policy-madness.html
Elliott Wave Count on Gold by David Petch
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9619.htm
(if you can understand anything of it)
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/245709439/bernanke-asks-taxpayers-to-bail-out.html
Interest Rate Policy Madness by Michael Shedlock
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/MishsGlobalEconomicTrendAnalysis/~3/245578693/interest-rate-policy-madness.html
Elliott Wave Count on Gold by David Petch
http://www.safehaven.com/article-9619.htm
(if you can understand anything of it)
2008-03-04
Stockexchange sell-off...
Bought some PWE (Penn West) @ 27.80 and some MFN (Minefinders) @ 12.00
Hope MFN will go future down, to fill the gap (if there is one), so I can buy some more.
Hope MFN will go future down, to fill the gap (if there is one), so I can buy some more.
Poll results
A fiscal stimulus was proposed to keep US economy growing.
If you would US citizen, what you will do with those $300 ?
If you would US citizen, what you will do with those $300 ?
- Buy 1/4 oz gold coin 7 (41%)
- Buy a X-Box :-) 4 (23%)
- Pay my morTgage 3 (17%)
- Buy a half share of Google 2 (11%)
- Fill my cars tank 1 (5%)
2008-03-03
Long weekend
While I am on long weekend, I notised Silver is @ $20+, and Gold hits $989...
I tried to buy Minefinders shares, but they skyrocketed with 7%...
I tried to buy Minefinders shares, but they skyrocketed with 7%...











